merlin:

skeptv:

Bayes: How one equation changed the way I think

Bayes’ Rule is a simple formula that tells you how to weigh evidence and change your beliefs. I don’t go around plugging numbers into a formula all the time, but nevertheless, becoming familiar with Bayes has shifted the way I think in some important ways.

via Julia Galef.

I so need this in my life. Seems useful as an analytical adjunct to CBT.

Source: youtube.com